By Borzou Daragahi in Tunis
Chokri Belaid knew he was a marked man. In the weeks before
his February 6 assassination, Tunisia ’s
outspoken leftist politician informed government officials, including interior
minister Ali Larayedh, that he had been receiving death threats on his phone.
“Your days are numbered,” said one text message, according
to his brother, Abdelmjaid. “Prepare for the end.
He warned his nine-year-old daughter that she should prepare
for the possibility of his early passing. “
Belaid’s death at the
hands of two gunmen on a motorcycle has shocked the country that two
years ago gave birth to the uprisings that continue to transform the Arab
world. It was the first political assassination in the country since at
least the 1950s and has exacerbated the polarisation between the country’s
Islamists and secularists.
Who killed him – and why – may be the key to easing the
tensions and redirecting the country toward political stability and economic
recovery.
Investigators have yet to name a suspect or release details
of a probe being led by the judiciary. Interior minister Ali Larayedh,
appearing on state television this week, called the murder “a terrorist case
which could involve reveal involvement of political networks.”
The interior ministry refused a request by the Financial
Times for an interview about the investigation.
Mistrustful of the government, which
is led by the Islamist Nahda party, a group of lawyers has created a
120-person independent commission of jurists to follow the probe and conduct
its own parallel inquiry.
Despite being a leader of the small Democratic Patriotic
party, Belaid had a much higher profile than most opposition figures. He was a
strong advocate of the country’s powerful unions and worker sit-ins and strikes
that have hurt the Tunisian economy. He was also garrulous to the point of
alienating some of his own political allies.
Belaid was “the personification of the leftist kafir (unbeliever)”
for Tunisia ’s
Islamists, said Michael Ayyari, of the International Crisis Group.
After his group lost badly to the Islamists in 2011
elections, Belaid’s political rivals, including activists close to Nahda, began
whispering that he collaborated with the deposed regime of Zein al-Abidine Ben
Ali. Supporters of the government were also enraged by Belaid’s vocal support
for labour action, which they say has weakened the country’s finances and
hindered economic recovery.
Belaid long insisted that Nahda had drawn up a hit-list of
secularist figures, without offering proof. Despite what friends and relatives
described as a constant barrage of threats, he declined an offer of official
protection by President Moncef Marzouki, who had also warned the politician
that the government had detected a threat against him. The one security
precaution he took was to stop taking taxis round Tunis .
Hours before the attack, a television station aired an
interview with him in which he accused Nahda of having given “a green light”
for political violence.
Although there is a police station around 100m from Belaid’s
apartment building in the upper-middle class Manzah district of the capital, in
the chaos and confusion it took the police a full hour to secure the site, said
Fawzi Ben M’rad, spokesman for the independent commission investigating the
assassination. The police eventually collected shell casings and other forensic
evidence, he said.
“Those who committed this crime are professionals,” said Mr
M’rad. “They targeted the neck and face in case he was wearing a bulletproof
jacket.”
Witnesses have described the gunman as between 25 and 35
years of age, but have been unable to provide any other significant clues, he
said.
Nahda has angrily denied responsibility for the killing,
accusing its rivals of political opportunism in exploiting a murder that
remains unsolved. “In any crime the first question is ‘who benefits,” said
Moadh Kheriji, the party’s chief of staff.
But another question facing investigators is who has the
ability to carry out such a crime. Since the revolution Tunisian extremist Muslims
have not only been stepping up attacks on cultural targets and
secularist figures, but have also been appearing as armed fighters in Libya,
Syria and, recently, Algeria, where 11 Tunisian militants were killed
after attempting to take over
the remote In Amenas gas plant.
Mr M’rad says police should be able to collect potentially
valuable clues from security cameras in the area, in addition to the forensic
evidence.
“If they want to know who killed him they can find out,” he
said. “But there has to be the political will. We don’t trust the government so
long as the ministry of justice and interior are in the hands of Nahda.”
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BOUAZZA
BEN BOUAZZA AND PAUL SCHEMM | February 14, 2013
Long before Tunisia
ousted its dictator and inspired the North African pro-democracy movement, the
small, relatively prosperous country had the more dubious distinction of
exporting Islamic militants. Now, as the country wrestles with the creation of
a new government after the killing of a liberal opposition leader, experts say
the flow of fighters is getting worse.
The repressive measures of the old secular dictatorship
fueled the anger that produced jihadi movements, but its ruthless security
apparatus also kept them largely in check. The much more relaxed approach of
the country's new leaders is allowing extremist groups and their networks to
flourish like never before, experts say.
Though no one knows for sure just how many Tunisian fighters
have traveled abroad, evidence suggests it remains one of the top exporters of
jihadists per capita. Tunisians have turned up on the battlefields of Iraq ,
Syria , Libya
and now Mali .
The 32-man militant strike team that seized a gas plant in Algeria
and took dozens of foreign workers hostage was more than one-third Tunisian.
Because of its small, well-educated population, there were
hopes Tunisia
would transition relatively easily to democracy after the ouster of Zine El
Abidine Ben Ali in January 2011. But it is now a battleground pitting
secularists and Islamists against one another and in the confusion of creating
a new state networks radicalized by the previous regime are flourishing.
The country has fallen victim to a faltering economy, high
unemployment and the failure of its new leaders to keep track of extremists
freed from prison during the revolution. The long-oppressed moderate Islamist
party, Ennahda, won elections in 2011 and immediately sought to overturn the
harsh security measures and intolerance for religion of its predecessor –
opening them to accusations they are coddling violent Islamists.
"The high number of Tunisian jihadis is because of the
lack of control of these people after they were freed following the revolution,
by either state or society," said Alaya Allani, an expert on these groups
and author of numerous articles on the subject.
Experts say Tunisians turned to extremist forms of Islam as
a reaction to Ben Ali's heavy-handed secular rule. There was no freedom of
expression under Ben Ali and many were imprisoned not just for having extremist
ideas but practically any anti-government sentiment.
Allani blamed the "absence of a clear religious policy
on the part of the new authorities" for the spread of jihadi networks,
noting that more than a hundred mosques of the 2,500 across the country are
under the control of radical preachers who advocate jihad in other countries.
The government has repeatedly promised to bring these
radical mosques, which are believed to be a key part of Tunisia 's
recruiting network, under control.
Much of the recruiting is done openly.
Tunisia' most famous militant, Seifallah Ben Hassine or Abu
Yadh, was released following the revolution_ after which he formed a group
known as Ansar al-Shariah that is believed to be behind an assault last year on
the U.S. embassy in Tunis.
Ben Hassine regularly preached for joining jihads in Syria
and elsewhere and is now on the run from Tunisian police in the embassy attack.
In an interview on his organization's Facebook page, the leader said many
Tunisians were fighting in Syria
and Mali .
"Tunisians can be found everywhere in the land of
jihad," he said, claiming that his organization actually urges them to
stay in the country. "The ways of going are easy and we don't stop our
people from leaving."
A suspect in the fatal Sept. 11 attack on the U.S.
diplomatic mission in Libya
that killed the U.S.
ambassador and three others had been released from a Tunisian prison during the
revolution. Ali Harzi was question by Tunisian authorities, and even the FBI,
but was released due to lack of evidence.
The records of around 600 foreign jihadis found in Iraq
in 2007 showed that while the majority were Libyans and Saudis, per capita,
Tunisians came in third.
In May 2012, the Syrian government presented a list of 26
foreign fighters it had captured – 19 were from Tunisia .
The Justice and Equity association, which tries to help families find out what
happened to their sons, estimates some 400 Tunisians are fighting in Syria
alone.
Authorities also discovered in December what they described
as two militant training camps near the Algerian border.
With al-Qaida suffering reverses in Iraq
and Afghanistan ,
the terror network appears to be ramping up its activities in North
Africa in hopes of taking advantage of the chaos and weakened
governments brought on by the Arab Spring.
"Chaos and the lack of security is fertile ground for
them," said Jamel Arfaoui, a Tunisian journalist who closely covers
extremist movements. He said that, according to his sources throughout Mali ,
there are some 150 Tunisians fighting there.
So far, the jihad has mostly been exported, but there are
fears that could change. The assassination of opposition leader Chokri Belaid
this month sparked days of rioting and speculation that his fierce criticism of
extremist Islamists may have inspired a homegrown jihadi.
The Algerian press also published a purported confession
from one of three captured militants from the Ain Amenas gas complex attack.
The alleged Tunisian said that new attacks were being planned against Tunisia
itself.
A report published Wednesday by the International Crisis
Group about the rise of Salafi groups in Tunisia
said for now, the jihadis were keeping the violence outside the country.
"Most jihadis seem willing to focus on proselytizing in
Tunisia and, at
least for now, are not prepared to engage in more serious violence on its
soil," it noted. "Yet this could get worse. Instability in the Maghreb ,
porous borders with Libya
and Algeria , as
well as the eventual return of jihadis from abroad, could spell trouble."
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